climate-shift Land use and climate exposure, for risk and public policy
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Download data

Everything the console shows can be downloaded: the analysis of one point, or the whole climate grids it reads.

This point

No point analysed yet — click the map in the console, then come back here.

Whole grids (0.25°)

NumPy .npz: read with numpy.load; arrays are model × band × row × column (rows north to south), with bands, models, west, north and step alongside.

Every report carries the list of sources and a provenance hash (SHA-256) over the data versions used. Cite the sources too — see "How to cite".

How to cite

If climate-shift contributed to your work, cite it and also cite the data sources used.

Suggested citation

Biondo, L. M. (2026). climate-shift (muda-clima): probable climate exposure of land use in Brazil, Canada and the United States. University of British Columbia Okanagan. Available at: https://clima.umaterra.com.br

BibTeX

@software{mudaclima_2026,
  title        = {muda-clima: exposição climática provável do uso da terra no Brasil, no Canadá e nos Estados Unidos},
  note         = {English name: climate-shift},
  author       = {Biondo, Leandro Meneguelli},
  year         = {2026},
  organization = {University of British Columbia Okanagan},
  url          = {https://clima.umaterra.com.br}
}

Authors and institutions

Leandro Meneguelli Biondo
University of British Columbia Okanagan (UBC Okanagan), Canada

Data sources — cite these too

Each source has its own attribution requirements. When publishing figures or numbers obtained here, cite whichever ones were used (the report's Method tab lists them).

  • NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6
    Thrasher, B. et al. (2022). NASA Global Daily Downscaled Projections, CMIP6. Scientific Data 9, 262. doi:10.1038/s41597-022-01393-4. Temperature and rainfall projections (0.25°).
  • NASA NEX-GDDP-FWI
    Park, T. et al. NEX-GDDP-FWI: Downscaled 21st century global fire weather projections. Scientific Data (under review). Canadian Fire Weather Index from NEX-GDDP-CMIP6; provisional data.
  • Köppen-Geiger 1 km (Beck et al. 2023)
    Beck, H. E. et al. (2023). Scientific Data 10, 724. doi:10.1038/s41597-023-02549-6. Climate classes 1991–2020 and 2041–2070. Licence CC BY 4.0.
  • IPCC AR6 WGI — SPM, Tabela/Table SPM.1
    IPCC (2021). Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Global warming by scenario and period (the "+2 °C world").
  • MapBiomas — Coleção 11
    Souza, C. M. et al. (2020). Remote Sensing 12(17), 2735. doi:10.3390/rs12172735. Land use and cover in Brazil. Licence CC BY-SA 4.0.
  • MapBiomas Fogo — Coleção 5
    Alencar, A. A. C. et al. (2022). Remote Sensing 14(11), 2510. doi:10.3390/rs14112510. Annual burned area in Brazil, 30 m.
  • AAFC Annual Crop Inventory
    Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Agricultural land use in Canada. Open Government Licence – Canada.
  • Annual NLCD · NLCD Alaska (USGS)
    U.S. Geological Survey (2024). Annual National Land Cover Database (NLCD) Collection 1, 1985–; NLCD 2016 (Alaska: 2001, 2011, 2016). US land use and cover, 30 m. Public domain.
  • MTBS — Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity
    USDA Forest Service / USGS. Annual burn severity, 30 m, United States (1984–). Public domain.
  • USGS 3DEP
    U.S. Geological Survey, 3D Elevation Program, 1/3 arc-second (~10 m). Slope in the United States.
  • CHIRPS v2
    Funk, C. et al. (2015). Scientific Data 2, 150066. doi:10.1038/sdata.2015.66. Observed rainfall (Brazil).
  • TerraClimate
    Abatzoglou, J. T. et al. (2018). Scientific Data 5, 170191. doi:10.1038/sdata.2017.191. Observed water deficit and rainfall.
  • ERA5 / ERA5-Land
    Hersbach, H. et al. (2020). QJRMS 146, 1999–2049. doi:10.1002/qj.3803; Muñoz-Sabater, J. et al. (2021). ESSD 13, 4349–4383. doi:10.5194/essd-13-4349-2021. Wind gusts and rainfall (Canada).
  • INMET
    Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology — automatic stations, hourly gusts.
  • SRTM · Copernicus DEM GLO-30 (2024)
    Farr, T. G. et al. (2007). Reviews of Geophysics 45, RG2004. doi:10.1029/2005RG000183; Copernicus DEM, doi:10.5270/ESA-c5d3d65. Slope.
  • MERIT Hydro
    Yamazaki, D. et al. (2019). Water Resources Research 55, 5053–5073. doi:10.1029/2019WR024873. Height above drainage (low ground).
  • JRC Global Surface Water
    Pekel, J.-F. et al. (2016). Nature 540, 418–422. doi:10.1038/nature20584. Seasonal water.
  • MODIS MCD64A1 · MOD11A2 (v061)
    Giglio, L. et al. doi:10.5067/MODIS/MCD64A1.061 (burned area, Canada); Wan, Z. et al. doi:10.5067/MODIS/MOD11A2.061 (land-surface temperature).
  • NOAA PSL — ONI
    Oceanic Niño Index (El Niño / La Niña phase).

Example of use in text

"Probable climate exposure of the study area was read with climate-shift (Biondo, 2026), combining MapBiomas Collection 11 land use (Souza et al., 2020) with NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 projections (Thrasher et al., 2022)."

AI use disclosure

How this application was built, and with what help.

climate-shift's code was written with the assistance of Anthropic's AI models — Claude Opus and Claude Sonnet — under the author's supervision and review at every step. The choice of data, the thresholds and the wording of every conclusion the page draws are the author's, and are documented in the Method tab and in the code.

No AI model runs when you use the page: the story is assembled by fixed rules from the numbers shown, so the same point always gives the same text. The interface conventions come from the sibling UmaTerra platforms, built with the same process.

See for yourself

  • UmaTerra — The home page for all the platforms: what each one is for, who it helps, and how to support the project. Free and open source.
  • Camposcope — Analyses one rural property at a time — its registered boundary (the CAR in Brazil, ParcelMap BC parcels in Canada) and the land around it: cover, forest loss, biomass and fire.
  • Naturametrics — Land-use history and landscape metrics around any point you click (Brazil: MapBiomas since 1985 and forest-inventory plots; Canada: crop inventory, forest age and forest change).
  • Yvynation — Land-cover change inside Brazil's Indigenous lands and conservation units, and Canada's protected areas, or inside areas you draw — with maps, charts and reports.

Project climate-shift · TerraShift architecture

What today's land use faces in tomorrow's climate

Click any point in Brazil or Canada. climate-shift reads the land use around it (MapBiomas, AAFC) and crosses it with nine CMIP6 climate models to tell which area is exposed to more heat, drought and heavy rain in 2041–2070 — openly, with the models' coarse scale drawn on the map. Deforestation alerts, ENSO and Sentinel-2 imagery sit alongside, and the same data flows through an open API.

ENSO now El Niño +2.16 °C conditions present
Impact around a point
9 ENSO indices, live from NOAA PSL
6 biomes with PRODES yearly deforestation
1891– observed rainfall record (GPCC)

What you can do today

ENSO watch & climate charts

ENSO watch & climate charts

The current El Niño / La Niña phase classified from the latest ONI value, nine NOAA indices charted, and projected temperature and rainfall for any pinned coordinate.

DETER + PRODES in one table

DETER + PRODES in one table

Near-real-time DETER alerts next to consolidated PRODES yearly polygons for all six biomes — filter by region, year, and map view, with every row drawn on the map.

Impact around a point

Impact around a point

Pick a radius and an emissions scenario, then click. The circle's land use (MapBiomas, latest year) meets the climate models' signal for its cell, and the story names the probable exposed area for each hazard the models agree on.

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Satellite imagery search

Search Sentinel-2 L2A scenes via the Element84 STAC catalog. Returns thumbnails and direct COG asset links on AWS Open Data.

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Parcel registry

Register a polygon as a versioned parcel record — the internal unit of truth that every TerraShift product is keyed to.

What makes this different

Parcel as the unit of truth

Pixels and grid cells are raw material. Every output is keyed to a stable parcel UUID linked to all external cadastral IDs (CAR, SIGEF, FUNAI, LTSA, ISC) — the audit trail carbon registries and regulators need.

Indigenous data held in trust

Three hard data tiers governed by FPIC in Brazil and OCAP in Canada. Communities are partners with revenue share, not subjects of monitoring. Right-to-withdraw is a first-class technical guarantee.

Provenance hashed end-to-end

Every record carries a SHA-256 hash over its source dataset versions. Carbon buyers and reinsurers can reproduce a risk score months later and prove which Sentinel scene, CAR version, and CMIP6 run produced it.